Complete list of publications

(2021). Forecasting Population Need for Mental Health Care: A Bayesian Methodology Applied to the Epidemiology of Psychotic Disorders in England. British Journal of Psychiatry (In press).

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(2021). Single-Inhaler Triple Therapy in Patients with Advanced COPD. Bayesian Modeling of the Healthcare Resource Utilization Data and Associated Costs from the IMPACT Trial. Submitted to Value in Health.

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(2020). Cannabidiol for the treatment of cannabis use disorder: Phase IIa double-blind placebo-controlled randomised adaptive Bayesian dose-finding trial. The Lancet Psychiatry.

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(2020). Summarising salient information on historical controls: A structured assessment of validity and comparability across studies. Clinical Trials (accepted for publication).

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(2020). Estimating weekly excess mortality at sub-national level in Italy during the COVID-19 pandemic. PLOS One 15(10): e0240286.

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(2020). Computing the Expected Value of Sample Information Efficiently: Practical Guidance and Recommendations for Four Model-Based Methods. Value in Health.

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(2020). Why counting coronavirus deaths is not an exact science. Why counting coronavirus deaths is not an exact science. The Guardian 19 April 2020.

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(2020). Are Missing Data Properly Accounted for in Health Economics and Outcomes Research?. Value and Outcomes Spotlight, March/April 2020.

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(2020). Practical Considerations for the Efficient Computation of the Expected Value of Sample Information to Prioritize Research in Health Care. Medical Decision Making.

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(2020). Calculating the Expected Value of Sample Information in Practice: Considerations from three case studies. Medical Decision Making.

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(2019). Computing the Expected Value of Sample Information Efficiently: Expertise and Skills Required for Four Model-Based Methods.

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(2019). Calculating the Expected Value of Sample Information in Practice: Considerations from Three Case Studies.

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(2019). Bayesian modelling for binary outcomes in the Regression Discontinuity Design. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society).

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(2019). A Bayesian parametric approach to handle missing longitudinal outcome data in trial-based health economic evaluations. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society).

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(2018). Modelling Outcomes of Soccer Matches. Machine Learning.

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(2018). Statistical Modeling for Health Economic Evaluations. Annual Review of Statistics and its Application.

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(2017). Evaluating the benefits of community based aerobic training on the physical health and well-being of people with Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease type 1A: a pilot randomised controlled trial. Journal of the Peripheral Nervous System.

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(2017). Cost-effectiveness analysis of the nine-valent HPV vaccine in Italy. Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation.

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(2017). The association between psychological stress and miscarriage: A systematic review and meta-analysis. Scientific Reports.

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(2016). Normative aerobic excercise value in CMT. Journal of the Peripheral Nervous System.

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(2016). Evaluating the benefits of community based aerobic traning on the physical health and well-being of people with Charcot-Marie-Tooth disease Type 1A. Journal of the Peripheral Nervous System.

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(2016). Evaluating the Benefits of Community Based Aerobic Training on the Physical Health and Well-Being of People with Neuromuscolar Disease. Muscle & Nerve.

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(2016). A Bayesian Nonparametric Model for White Blood Cells in Patients with Lower Urinary Tract Symptoms. Electronic Journal of Statistics.

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(2016). Treatment of Polycystic Ovary Syndrome in UK Primary Care 2004-2012. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety.

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(2016). The Regression Discontinuity Design in Epidemiology. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety.

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(2016). Do GPs Adhere to the Guidelines? A Study Based on Statins Prescriptions. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety.

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(2015). Urinary ATP as an indicator of infection and inflammation of theurinary tract in patients with lower urinary tract symptoms. BMC Urology.

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(2015). Comparison of computer-assisted planning and manual planning for depth electrode implantations in epilepsy. Journal of Neurosurgery.

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(2015). Estimating the Cost-Effectiveness Profile of a Vaccination Programme with a Nine-Valent HPV Vaccine in Italy. Value in Health.

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(2015). Evaluating the benefits of community based aerobic training on the physical health and well-being of people with neuromuscular diseases: A pilot study. Neuromuscolar Disorders.

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(2015). Cost-effectiveness analysis of universal human papillomavirus vaccination using a dynamic Bayesian methodology: The BEST II study. Value in Health.

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(2015). Uptake of Bowel Scope (Flexible Sigmoidoscopy) Screening in the English National Programme: the first 14 months. Journal of Medical Screening.

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(2015). Stepped wedge randomised controlled trials: systematic review of studies published between 2010 and 2014. Trials.

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(2015). Sample size calculation for a stepped wedge trial. Trials.

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(2015). Five questions to consider before conducting a stepped wedge trial. Trials.

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(2015). Monetary costs of agitation in older adults with Alzheimer's diseasein the UK: prospective cohort study. BMJ open.

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(2015). Health utilities lost and risk factors associated with HPV-induceddiseases in men and women: The HPV Italian collaborative study group. Clinical Therapeutics.

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(2015). Cost-effectiveness and affordability of community mobilisation throughwomen's groups and quality improvement in health facilities (MaiKhandatrial) in Malawi. Cost Effectiveness and Resource Allocation.

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(2015). A predictable outcome. Significance Magazine.

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(2014). Non-pharmacological interventions for agitation in dementia: systematicreview of randomised controlled trials. British Journal of Psychiatry.

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(2014). The effect of herd immunity in different human papillomavirus vaccinationstrategies: an economic evaluation of the BEST II study. Value in Health.

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(2014). Telomere length in human blastocysts. Reproductive Biomedicine Online.

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(2014). Preformulated implementation intentions to promote colorectal cancerscreening: A cluster-randomized trial. Health Psychology.

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(2013). Spatial and spatio-temporal models with R-INLA. Spatial and Spatio-temporal Epidemiology.

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(2013). Risk factors influencing the viral transmission and the potential development of HPV-induced pathologies. Value in Health.

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(2013). Evaluating the benefits of community based aerobic training on the physical health and well-being of people with neuromuscular diseases: a pilot study. Journal of the Peripheral Nervous System.

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(2013). Loss of health utilities due to HPV-induced diseases in men and women: a multicenter Italian study. Value in Health.

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(2013). Transparency or proper study valuation procedures missed?. Medical Care.

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(2012). Novel health economic evaluation of a vaccination strategy to prevent HPV-related diseases: The BEST study. Medical Care.

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(2012). The prevalence of primary angle closure glaucoma in European derived populations: A systematic review. British Journal of Ophthalmology.

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(2012). Socioeconomic variation in uptake of colonoscopy following a positive faecal occult blood test result: a retrospective analysis of the NHS Bowel Cancer Screening Programme. British Journal of Cancer.

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(2012). Governance of preventive Health Intervention and On time Verification of its Efficiency: the GIOVE Study. BMJ Open.

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(2011). Probabilistic Sensitivity Analysis in Health Economics. Statistical Methods in Medical Research.

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(2011). Centre Sampling Technique in Foreign Migration Surveys: A Methodological Note. Journal of Official Statistics.

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(2011). Inequalities in participation in an organized national colorectal cancer screening programme: results from the first 2.6 million invitations in England. International Journal of Epidemiology.

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(2011). Bayesian modelling assessing the effectiveness of a vaccination strategy to prevent HPV-related diseases: The BEST study. Value in Health.

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(2011). Improving adherence in osteoporosis: a new management algorithm for the patient with osteoporosis. Expert Opinion on Pharmacotherapy.

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(2009). A semantic approach for the homogeneous identification of events in eight patient databases: a contribution to the European eu-ADR project. Studies in Health Technology and Informatics.

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(2008). Discontinuity and failures of therapy with bisphosphonates: joint assessment of predictors with multi-state models. Pharmacoepidemiology and Drug Safety.

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(2007). Handling manipulated evidence. Forensic Science International.

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(2007). An Introduction to Bayesian Modelling for Social Sciences. Best Practice in Quantitative Methods.

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(2006). Object Oriented Influence Diagram for Cost Effectiveness Analysis of Influenza Vaccination in Italian Elderly Population. Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research.

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(2005). Economic evaluation of HIV treatments: the I.CO.N.A. cohort study. Health Policy.

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(2005). Medical Devices Competitiveness and Impact on Public Health Expenditure.

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(2004). Economic evaluation of HIV treatments: The I.CO.N.A cohort study. Value in Health.

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(2003). Pharmacoutilization and costs of osteoarthritis: changes inducedby the introduction of a cyclooxygenase-2 inhibitor into clinicalpractice. Rheumatology (Oxford).

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(2003). Bayesian cost-effectiveness analysis based on the persistence with antihypertensive treatment. Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research.

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(2002). Persistence with anti hypertensive drug treatment: An evaluation based on a Bayesian cost-effectiveness approach. Value in Health.

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(2002). Cost allocation in antihypertensive drug therapies. Expert Review of Pharmacoeconomics & Outcomes Research.

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(2002). [Evaluation model of the effect of Rofecoxib on the co-prescriptionof gastroprotective agents observed during the treatment of osteoarthritis].. Reumatismo.

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(2002). A retrospective, population-based analysis of persistence with antihypertensivedrug therapy in primary care practice in Italy.. Clinical Therapeutics.

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(2002). Long-term persistence with antihypertensive drugs in new patients.. Journal of Human Hypertension.

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(2002). Modello valutativo dell'effetto sulla co-prescrizione di gastroprotettoriosservato durante il trattamento dell'artrosi con rofecoxib. Reumatismo.

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(2001). Una prima valutazione economica dell'impiego di rofecoxib versusFANS convenzionali nell'artrosi. PharmacoEconomics - Italian Research Articles.

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